Tropical Depression THIRTEEN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN
SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007
2215 UTC TUE SEP 25 2007
AT 2215Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 6(10) 3(13) X(13)
LA PESCO MX 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) X(11)
TAMPICO MX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 7(14) 5(19) X(19)
TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
TUXPAN MX 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 8(19) 5(24) X(24)
TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) 8(21) 4(25) X(25)
VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) X(11)
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 214N 950W 34 10 12(22) 8(30) 5(35) 6(41) 3(44) X(44)
12 214N 950W 50 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11)
12 214N 950W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 212N 950W 34 8 14(22) 7(29) 6(35) 6(41) 3(44) X(44)
24 212N 950W 50 1 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 3(10) 2(12) X(12)
24 212N 950W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 210N 950W 34 7 14(21) 8(29) 6(35) 6(41) 3(44) X(44)
36 210N 950W 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) X(11)
36 210N 950W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 208N 951W 34 6 13(19) 8(27) 6(33) 6(39) 3(42) X(42)
48 208N 951W 50 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) X(11)
48 208N 951W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
72 205N 955W 34 4 9(13) 11(24) 7(31) 7(38) 3(41) X(41)
72 205N 955W 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10)
72 205N 955W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
96 200N 970W 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) 8(20) 5(25) X(25)
96 200N 970W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
96 200N 970W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 35 40 45 55 50 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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