| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Storm LORENZO (Text)

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCB
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LORENZO ADVISORY NUMBER  10...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132007
400 PM CDT THU SEP 27 2007

...CORRECTED TO INCLUDE RAINFALL STATEMENT 
 
...LORENZO EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO AS A HURRICANE...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA TO
CABO ROJO. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF PALMA SOLA TO VERACRUZ. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.9 WEST OR ABOUT 105
MILES...170 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.
 
LORENZO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE COAST OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED UNTIL THE
CENTER CROSSES THE COAST OF MEXICO IN ABOUT 12 HOURS OR SO
 
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST AND LORENZO COULD REACH THE COAST AS A HURRICANE.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
NEAR AND TO THE NORTH WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.

LORENZO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...20.4 N...95.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
NNNN