ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM KAREN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007 1500 UTC WED SEP 26 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 126N 445W 34 83 8(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) 12 126N 445W 50 36 23(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) 12 126N 445W 64 11 7(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 24 140N 468W 34 2 67(69) 11(80) 1(81) X(81) 1(82) X(82) 24 140N 468W 50 X 36(36) 15(51) 1(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) 24 140N 468W 64 X 14(14) 11(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 36 155N 485W 34 1 13(14) 45(59) 9(68) 4(72) X(72) 1(73) 36 155N 485W 50 X 2( 2) 29(31) 10(41) 2(43) X(43) 1(44) 36 155N 485W 64 X X( X) 13(13) 5(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) 48 168N 500W 34 X 3( 3) 21(24) 23(47) 11(58) 2(60) 1(61) 48 168N 500W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) 6(29) 1(30) X(30) 48 168N 500W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) 72 190N 520W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 23(37) 7(44) 3(47) 72 190N 520W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 4(19) 2(21) 72 190N 520W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 96 210N 540W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 12(27) 5(32) 96 210N 540W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) 96 210N 540W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 120 230N 555W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 6(22) 120 230N 555W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 120 230N 555W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65 75 75 70 65 60 55 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:50 UTC