Tropical Depression TWELVE

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007               
0300 UTC TUE SEP 25 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 10.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 106N  384W 34 17   9(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 12 106N  384W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 106N  384W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 112N  414W 34  X  30(30)  12(42)   X(42)   1(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 24 112N  414W 50  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 24 112N  414W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 118N  445W 34  X   1( 1)  33(34)  10(44)   2(46)   X(46)   1(47)
 36 118N  445W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 36 118N  445W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 125N  474W 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  25(29)  12(41)   1(42)   1(43)
 48 125N  474W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   6(14)   1(15)   X(15)
 48 125N  474W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 153N  509W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  23(27)  10(37)   2(39)
 72 153N  509W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   4(13)   1(14)
 72 153N  509W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 190N  530W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  16(23)   6(29)
 96 190N  530W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)
 96 190N  530W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
 
120 220N  545W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   8(19)
120 220N  545W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)
120 220N  545W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     45      50      55      60      60      60
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN