| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Tropical Storm HUMBERTO (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092007               
0300 UTC THU SEP 13 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
MOBILE AL      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BURAS LA       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
JACKSON MS     34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  2   6( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 77   5(82)   X(82)   1(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 19   2(21)   X(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
GALVESTON TX   34 80   1(81)   X(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
GALVESTON TX   50 12   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 301N  939W 34 74   6(80)   X(80)   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 12 301N  939W 50 16   3(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 12 301N  939W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 316N  927W 34  2  17(19)   3(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 24 316N  927W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 24 316N  927W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 325N  912W 34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 36 325N  912W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 36 325N  912W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 325N  900W 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 48 325N  900W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 48 325N  900W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     50     30      25      20       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:48 UTC