| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Depression INGRID (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082007               
0300 UTC SUN SEP 16 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 174N  571W 34  5   3( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 12 174N  571W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 12 174N  571W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 182N  586W 34  1   7( 8)   4(12)   2(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 24 182N  586W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 24 182N  586W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 190N  599W 34  X   2( 2)   8(10)   3(13)   2(15)   1(16)   X(16)
 36 190N  599W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 36 190N  599W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 198N  608W 34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   4(13)   2(15)   X(15)
 48 198N  608W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 48 198N  608W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 215N  620W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   2(12)   X(12)
 72 215N  620W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 215N  620W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 230N  630W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
 96 230N  630W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 96 230N  630W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     25     25      25      25      25      20       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN