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Tropical Storm GABRIELLE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072007               
0900 UTC SUN SEP 09 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 34.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   4( 4)   8(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  3  18(21)   2(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34 26  22(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  3   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34 46   4(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 353N  760W 34 40  18(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 12 353N  760W 50  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 12 353N  760W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 366N  748W 34  X  32(32)  11(43)   1(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 24 366N  748W 50  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 24 366N  748W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 380N  725W 34  X   2( 2)  22(24)   7(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 36 380N  725W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 36 380N  725W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 392N  696W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  14(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 48 392N  696W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 48 392N  696W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     40      40      35       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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