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Tropical Depression FIVE (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052007               
0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
AUSTIN TX      34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  X   3( 3)   7(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  X   9( 9)  13(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  X   4( 4)  15(19)   5(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
PORT O CONNOR  50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 34  X   2( 2)  15(17)   6(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  X  14(14)  17(31)   3(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 253N  932W 34 13   9(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 12 253N  932W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 253N  932W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 264N  952W 34  1  21(22)  11(33)   2(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 24 264N  952W 50  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 24 264N  952W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 273N  970W 34  X   5( 5)  17(22)   5(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 36 273N  970W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 36 273N  970W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 280N  989W 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 48 280N  989W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 280N  989W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     35      40      25       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:44 UTC