Hurricane DEAN

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE DEAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  37                  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007               
0900 UTC WED AUG 22 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS
...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.                                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  6   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
LA PESCO MX    34 13   7(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
TAMPICO MX     34 63   9(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
TAMPICO MX     50 10  16(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
TAMPICO MX     64  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
TUXPAN MX      34 94   3(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
TUXPAN MX      50 65   7(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
TUXPAN MX      64 17   7(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
VERACRUZ MX    34 66   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
VERACRUZ MX    50  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
FRONTERA MX    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 209N  971W 34 97   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 209N  971W 50 75   3(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 12 209N  971W 64 24   4(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
 24 214N 1002W 34  6  29(35)   1(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 24 214N 1002W 50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 24 214N 1002W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 218N 1035W 34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 36 218N 1035W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 36 218N 1035W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     80     40      20       0       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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