Hurricane DEAN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DEAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
2100 UTC MON AUG 20 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130
KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LA PESCO MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 11(29) X(29) X(29)
LA PESCO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 31(35) 16(51) X(51) X(51)
TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 12(23) X(23) X(23)
TAMPICO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 35(42) 13(55) X(55) X(55)
TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 9(24) X(24) X(24)
TUXPAN MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 19(29) 4(33) X(33) X(33)
VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11)
VERACRUZ MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FRONTERA MX 34 X 13(13) 30(43) 4(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
FRONTERA MX 50 X 2( 2) 11(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
FRONTERA MX 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MERIDA MX 34 3 49(52) 8(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
MERIDA MX 50 X 15(15) 4(19) X(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20)
MERIDA MX 64 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COZUMEL MX 34 50 19(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
COZUMEL MX 50 6 7(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
COZUMEL MX 64 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BELIZE 34 20 42(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
BELIZE 50 3 14(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
BELIZE 64 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GUANAJA 34 30 3(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
GUANAJA 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ISLE OF PINES 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 185N 867W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 185N 867W 50 90 6(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 185N 867W 64 62 16(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
24 193N 902W 34 4 72(76) 11(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
24 193N 902W 50 X 48(48) 13(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
24 193N 902W 64 X 24(24) 7(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
36 202N 936W 34 X 9( 9) 58(67) 12(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80)
36 202N 936W 50 X 1( 1) 36(37) 14(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52)
36 202N 936W 64 X X( X) 19(19) 8(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28)
48 210N 970W 34 X X( X) 10(10) 39(49) 11(60) X(60) X(60)
48 210N 970W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 9(27) X(27) X(27)
48 210N 970W 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12)
72 215N 1030W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13)
72 215N 1030W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 215N 1030W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 140 75 85 95 30 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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