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HURRICANE DEAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
1500 UTC MON AUG 20 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130
KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) X(15) X(15)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 12(24) X(24) X(24)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LA PESCO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 26(37) X(37) X(37)
LA PESCO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13)
LA PESCO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 29(49) X(49) X(49)
TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) X(22) X(22)
TAMPICO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 23(46) X(46) X(46)
TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) X(19) X(19)
TUXPAN MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 8(28) X(28) X(28)
VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FRONTERA MX 34 X 4( 4) 23(27) 10(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38)
FRONTERA MX 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
FRONTERA MX 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MERIDA MX 34 X 36(36) 30(66) 2(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69)
MERIDA MX 50 X 7( 7) 16(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
MERIDA MX 64 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
COZUMEL MX 34 9 63(72) 2(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
COZUMEL MX 50 1 19(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
COZUMEL MX 64 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BELIZE 34 4 48(52) 4(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
BELIZE 50 1 17(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
BELIZE 64 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GUANAJA 34 22 15(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
GUANAJA 50 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 4 7(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
ISLE OF PINES 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 182N 851W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 182N 851W 50 90 6(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 182N 851W 64 62 17(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
24 190N 886W 34 4 82(86) 8(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
24 190N 886W 50 X 61(61) 13(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
24 190N 886W 64 X 34(34) 12(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
36 199N 922W 34 X 8( 8) 54(62) 14(76) 2(78) X(78) X(78)
36 199N 922W 50 X 1( 1) 31(32) 12(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45)
36 199N 922W 64 X X( X) 13(13) 7(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
48 210N 955W 34 X X( X) 10(10) 43(53) 13(66) X(66) X(66)
48 210N 955W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 11(35) X(35) X(35)
48 210N 955W 64 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 7(17) X(17) X(17)
72 225N 1020W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14)
72 225N 1020W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 225N 1020W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 140 100 80 95 35 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:43 UTC