Hurricane DEAN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DEAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
2100 UTC SUN AUG 19 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125
KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8)
PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 7(15) X(15)
GFMX 270N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 11(23) X(23)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8)
BROWNSVILLE TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 10(32) X(32)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) X(13)
GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
LA PESCO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 16(36) X(36)
LA PESCO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) X(13)
LA PESCO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 14(39) X(39)
TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) X(15)
TAMPICO MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 11(34) X(34)
TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) X(12)
TUXPAN MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 5(23) X(23)
VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8)
VERACRUZ MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 15(28) 2(30) X(30)
FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11) X(11)
FRONTERA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) 12(12) 44(56) 14(70) 1(71) X(71)
MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 9(37) 1(38) X(38)
MERIDA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 15(15) 5(20) X(20) X(20)
COZUMEL MX 34 X 6( 6) 53(59) 18(77) 2(79) X(79) X(79)
COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) 28(28) 15(43) 2(45) X(45) X(45)
COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) 11(11) 12(23) X(23) 1(24) X(24)
BELIZE 34 X 1( 1) 16(17) 17(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36)
BELIZE 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
BELIZE 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GUANAJA 34 X 6( 6) 16(22) 4(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
GUANAJA 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GUANAJA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 8( 8) 20(28) 4(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
HAVANA 34 X 6( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ISLE OF PINES 34 2 18(20) 7(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
ISLE OF PINES 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CIENFUEGOS 34 4 6(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
CAMAGUEY 34 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 18 74(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
GRAND CAYMAN 50 3 53(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
GRAND CAYMAN 64 1 24(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
MONTEGO BAY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MONTEGO BAY 50 75 X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
MONTEGO BAY 64 17 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
KINGSTON 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
KINGSTON 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
KINGSTON 64 74 X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
LES CAYES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 178N 794W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 178N 794W 50 89 6(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 178N 794W 64 66 18(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
24 184N 830W 34 4 85(89) 8(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
24 184N 830W 50 X 71(71) 12(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
24 184N 830W 64 X 46(46) 16(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
36 190N 865W 34 X 10(10) 67(77) 10(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88)
36 190N 865W 50 X 2( 2) 49(51) 15(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67)
36 190N 865W 64 X X( X) 32(32) 13(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46)
48 199N 900W 34 X X( X) 11(11) 44(55) 14(69) 2(71) X(71)
48 199N 900W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) 8(38) 1(39) X(39)
48 199N 900W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 4(21) X(21) X(21)
72 215N 965W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 35(36) 11(47) X(47)
72 215N 965W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 7(23) X(23)
72 215N 965W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10)
96 230N 1010W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) X(16)
96 230N 1010W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
96 230N 1010W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 130 135 140 80 100 35 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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