Hurricane DEAN

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HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
0300 UTC TUE AUG 21 2007
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNING WESTWARD FROM CIUDAD DE CARMEN TO CHILITEPEC. A
HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF
BELIZE...ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO
FROM THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER NORTHWARD TO CANCUN...AND ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF PROGRESSO
SOUTHWARD TO CHILITEPEC. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD HAVE ALREADY
BEEN COMPLETED. PREPARATIONS ELSEWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM WEST OF CHILITEPEC WESTWARD TO
VERACRUZ MEXICO...AND A HURRICANE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM
VERACRUZ TO TAMPICO.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF CANCUN TO PROGRESSO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
PROVINCES OF CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND ISLA DE LA
JUVENTUD.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  86.0W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  914 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT.......100NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  90SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 200SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  86.0W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  85.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.7N  88.6W...INLAND OVER YUCATAN
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.2N  92.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.6N  95.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  90SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.6N  99.1W...INLAND MAINLAND MEXICO
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N  86.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB/ROBERTS
 
 
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