ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM DEAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 39 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007 500 PM EDT WED AUG 22 2007 AROUND 1630 UTC...THE CENTER OF DEAN MADE LANDFALL IN MEXICO AS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE NEAR THE TOWN OF TECOLUTLA...ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO. ALTHOUGH DEAN CONTINUES TO GENERATE DEEP CONVECTION...THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN HAS DETERIORATED. THE INITIAL ADVISORY INTENSITY IS SET AT 60 KT. HOWEVER...STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/15. DEAN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD AND THE SURFACE CIRCULATION SHOULD DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. THE PRIMARY THREAT IS RAINFALL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MEXICO. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/2100Z 20.5N 98.1W 60 KT...INLAND 12HR VT 23/0600Z 20.5N 100.5W 30 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:43 UTC