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Tropical Depression THREE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1       
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032007               
0300 UTC TUE JUL 31 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)  11(11)  18(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)  30(30)   2(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 382N  645W 34 30   3(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 12 382N  645W 50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 382N  645W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 425N  600W 34  X  21(21)   5(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 24 425N  600W 50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 24 425N  600W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 475N  520W 34  X   X( X)  24(24)   7(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 36 475N  520W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 36 475N  520W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 525N  430W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)  25(25)  10(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 48 525N  430W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 48 525N  430W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 580N  300W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)  12(36)   2(38)
 72 580N  300W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)
 72 580N  300W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 610N  230W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  23(29)   6(35)
 96 610N  230W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)
 96 610N  230W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
 
120 650N  150W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  13(23)
120 650N  150W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
120 650N  150W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     35      40      40      40      45      45
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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