Tropical Depression BARRY
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022007
1500 UTC SAT JUN 02 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 14(14) 8(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
RALEIGH NC 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 1( 1) 23(24) 5(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 4( 4) 27(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 11(11) 19(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 17(17) 9(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 17(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
SAVANNAH GA 34 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
JACKSONVILLE 34 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 31 X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
ORLANDO FL 34 15 X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
TAMPA FL 34 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 305N 810W 34 22 6(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
12 305N 810W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 305N 810W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 335N 790W 34 X 20(20) 8(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
24 335N 790W 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 335N 790W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 360N 765W 34 X 1( 1) 22(23) 5(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
36 360N 765W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
36 360N 765W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 395N 730W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
48 395N 730W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 395N 730W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 40 40 40 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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