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Tropical Storm BARRY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022007               
0300 UTC SAT JUN 02 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   3(18)   X(18)   X(18)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   7( 7)  10(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)  13(13)   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   2( 2)  14(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X  14(14)  11(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
JACKSONVILLE   50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   9( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
VENICE FL      34  5   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
TAMPA FL       34  4  22(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  1  32(33)   2(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
CEDAR KEY FL   50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 273N  840W 34 49   5(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 12 273N  840W 50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 273N  840W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 300N  825W 34  X  23(23)   4(27)   X(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 24 300N  825W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 24 300N  825W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 330N  805W 34  X   X( X)  12(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 36 330N  805W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 330N  805W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 361N  765W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   4(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 48 361N  765W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 361N  765W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 420N  700W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 72 420N  700W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 420N  700W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     35      30      30      30       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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