Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Subtropical Depression ANDREA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012007               
1500 UTC THU MAY 10 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDREA WAS LOCATED    
NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                    
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  5   3( 8)   3(11)   4(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  2   3( 5)   2( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  3   4( 7)   2( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 296N  799W 34 16   3(19)   3(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 12 296N  799W 50  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 296N  799W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 293N  798W 34 11   6(17)   3(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 24 293N  798W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 293N  798W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 292N  796W 34 10   5(15)   3(18)   2(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 36 292N  796W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 292N  796W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 295N  793W 34 11   4(15)   2(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 48 295N  793W 50  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 295N  793W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     25      25      20       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN