Tropical Storm SERGIO

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TROPICAL STORM SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP212006
0300 UTC SUN NOV 19 2006
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF SERGIO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 105.1W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 105.1W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 104.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.1N 105.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  25SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.5N 106.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.8N 107.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.1N 109.1W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.5N 111.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 105.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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