Tropical Storm SERGIO

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TROPICAL STORM SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP212006
1500 UTC SAT NOV 18 2006
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF SERGIO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 104.1W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 104.1W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 103.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.8N 104.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.5N 105.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.5N 107.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.5N 110.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 104.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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