ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212006 100 PM PST MON NOV 20 2006 THE SATELLITE APPEARANCE OF THE SERGIO HAS DETERIORATED OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY. EVEN THOUGH DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS ARE 35 KT FROM TAFB AND 30 KT FROM SAB...THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE A RESULT OF CONVERGENCE LINES ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. IN ADDITION...SERGIO NO LONGER HAS ORGANIZED CONVECTION OR A WELL- DEFINED CENTER...WITH A VORTICITY MAXIMUM LOCATED AT THE EASTERN END OF A TROUGH OR SHEAR AXIS. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON SERGIO UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. HOWEVER...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS CAN STILL BE EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF SERGIO PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. WITH RESPECT TO STATISTICS...SERGIO IS THE LONGEST RUNNING TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR NOVEMBER. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 14.9N 108.0W 25 KT 12HR VT 21/0600Z 15.0N 108.8W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 21/1800Z 15.3N 110.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 22/0600Z 15.5N 111.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 20-Nov-2006 20:40:04 UTC