Tropical Storm ROSA

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM ROSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6             
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP192006               
1500 UTC THU NOV 09 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ROSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                                         
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT  8 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 164N 1057W 34 34   5(39)   1(40)   1(41)   1(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 12 164N 1057W 50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 164N 1057W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 168N 1061W 34 13  11(24)   2(26)   X(26)   2(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 24 168N 1061W 50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 24 168N 1061W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 172N 1065W 34  2   8(10)   5(15)   2(17)   2(19)   1(20)   X(20)
 36 172N 1065W 50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 172N 1065W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 176N 1070W 34  X   4( 4)   6(10)   2(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 48 176N 1070W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 176N 1070W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 180N 1080W 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 72 180N 1080W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 180N 1080W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 180N 1085W 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 96 180N 1085W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 96 180N 1085W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     30      30      25      25      20       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN