Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182006
2100 UTC THU OCT 26 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 3(18) 1(19)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 169N 1057W 34 48 16(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
12 169N 1057W 50 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
12 169N 1057W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 166N 1074W 34 4 40(44) 10(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
24 166N 1074W 50 X 8( 8) 5(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
24 166N 1074W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 163N 1094W 34 X 9( 9) 32(41) 10(51) 3(54) X(54) X(54)
36 163N 1094W 50 X 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
36 163N 1094W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 161N 1116W 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 24(35) 11(46) 1(47) X(47)
48 161N 1116W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) X(15) X(15)
48 161N 1116W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 160N 1150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20(26) 8(34) 1(35)
72 160N 1150W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10)
72 160N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 165N 1180W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 10(18) 3(21)
96 165N 1180W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
96 165N 1180W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 170N 1210W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10)
120 170N 1210W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 170N 1210W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 50 55 55 50 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
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