Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182006
1500 UTC THU OCT 26 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
P VALLARTA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
MANZANILLO 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 10(14) 13(27) 2(29) 2(31)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 5(19) 2(21)
ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 171N 1055W 34 32 12(44) 2(46) 1(47) X(47) 1(48) X(48)
12 171N 1055W 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
12 171N 1055W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 171N 1071W 34 3 30(33) 9(42) 3(45) 3(48) X(48) X(48)
24 171N 1071W 50 X 5( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10)
24 171N 1071W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 171N 1085W 34 1 10(11) 22(33) 10(43) 5(48) 1(49) 1(50)
36 171N 1085W 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 2(12) X(12) 1(13)
36 171N 1085W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 171N 1100W 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 16(31) 12(43) 2(45) 1(46)
48 171N 1100W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) X(13) 1(14)
48 171N 1100W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
72 170N 1125W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 20(30) 6(36) 1(37)
72 170N 1125W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) 1(12)
72 170N 1125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 170N 1135W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 19(23) 6(29) 2(31)
96 170N 1135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
96 170N 1135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
120 165N 1145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 8(21) 3(24)
120 165N 1145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
120 165N 1145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 60 55 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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