Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP182006
2100 UTC THU OCT 26 2006
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 104.7W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 104.7W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 104.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.9N 105.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.6N 107.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.3N 109.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.1N 111.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 16.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 17.0N 121.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 104.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
 
 
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