Tropical Storm PAUL

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TROPICAL STORM PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP172006
0900 UTC WED OCT 25 2006
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM
AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...AND FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD
ON THE EAST COAST. 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 109.9W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 109.9W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 110.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.8N 108.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 23.3N 108.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 23.5N 106.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 23.5N 105.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 109.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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