Tropical Storm PAUL

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TROPICAL STORM PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP172006
1500 UTC TUE OCT 24 2006
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA
BLANCA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...AND FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON
THE EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN TO ALTATA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

SOME OF THESE WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BE DISCONTINUED LATER
TODAY. 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 112.0W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  25SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 112.0W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 112.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.2N 111.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  25SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.8N 110.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  25SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 24.0N 107.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 112.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH
 
 
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