Hurricane PAUL

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HURRICANE PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP172006
0300 UTC TUE OCT 24 2006
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...AND FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED
LATER TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 111.7W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 111.7W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 111.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.7N 111.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.5N 110.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 22.7N 109.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 25.0N 106.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 111.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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