Hurricane PAUL
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HURRICANE PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172006
0300 UTC TUE OCT 24 2006
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...AND FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED
LATER TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 111.7W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 111.7W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 111.7W
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.7N 111.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.5N 110.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 22.7N 109.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 25.0N 106.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 111.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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