Tropical Storm PAUL
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TROPICAL STORM PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172006
0900 UTC SUN OCT 22 2006
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAUL.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 108.9W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 108.9W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 108.6W
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.1N 111.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.7N 111.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 21.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 25.0N 108.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 108.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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