ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162006 1500 UTC TUE OCT 10 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 153N 1269W 34 88 3(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) 12 153N 1269W 50 9 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 12 153N 1269W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 162N 1256W 34 22 35(57) 6(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) 24 162N 1256W 50 1 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 24 162N 1256W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 170N 1237W 34 1 11(12) 19(31) 5(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) 36 170N 1237W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 36 170N 1237W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 177N 1218W 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 9(18) 5(23) X(23) X(23) 48 177N 1218W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 177N 1218W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 190N 1180W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) 72 190N 1180W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 190N 1180W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 200N 1145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 96 200N 1145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 200N 1145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 45 40 35 25 20 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 10-Oct-2006 15:40:04 UTC