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Tropical Depression OLIVIA

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLIVIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162006
0900 UTC WED OCT 11 2006
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 124.7W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 124.7W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 125.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 17.4N 123.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.0N 121.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.3N 119.7W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.7N 117.8W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.5N 114.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 124.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB/WILLIS
 
 
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