Tropical Storm OLIVIA

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TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162006
1500 UTC TUE OCT 10 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 127.5W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 127.5W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 127.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.3N 126.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.2N 125.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.0N 123.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.7N 121.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.0N 118.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 20.0N 114.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 127.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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