Tropical Storm MIRIAM

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142006               
0300 UTC MON SEP 18 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 199N 1143W 34 16  11(27)   1(28)   X(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 12 199N 1143W 50  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 199N 1143W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 210N 1149W 34  1  16(17)   4(21)   1(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 24 210N 1149W 50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 24 210N 1149W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 221N 1158W 34  X   5( 5)   8(13)   3(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 36 221N 1158W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 221N 1158W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 231N 1165W 34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   4(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 48 231N 1165W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 231N 1165W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 245N 1175W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 72 245N 1175W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 245N 1175W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     30      25      25      25       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FIORINO/PASCH                                           
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN