ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142006 1200 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006 AT 1200Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) CULICAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) 3(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 12 9(21) 3(24) X(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) ISLA CLARION 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 179N 1140W 34 34 12(46) 3(49) X(49) X(49) 1(50) X(50) 12 179N 1140W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 12 179N 1140W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 189N 1132W 34 5 29(34) 9(43) 2(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) 24 189N 1132W 50 X 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 24 189N 1132W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 198N 1127W 34 1 15(16) 19(35) 4(39) 2(41) 1(42) X(42) 36 198N 1127W 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) 36 198N 1127W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 208N 1127W 34 X 6( 6) 16(22) 7(29) 5(34) X(34) 1(35) 48 208N 1127W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 48 208N 1127W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 72 225N 1135W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 8(17) 2(19) 1(20) 72 225N 1135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 225N 1135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 240N 1145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 96 240N 1145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 96 240N 1145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 260N 1155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 120 260N 1155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 260N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 40 35 30 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB NNNN
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