ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006 2100 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LA PAZ 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LORETO 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HERMOSILLO 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUAYMAS 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HUATABAMPO 34 3 7(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) HUATABAMPO 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 23 7(30) 1(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) LOS MOCHIS 50 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CULICAN 34 23 3(26) X(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) CULICAN 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAZATLAN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 256N 1074W 34 93 3(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 12 256N 1074W 50 59 6(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) 12 256N 1074W 64 21 3(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 24 268N 1076W 34 35 24(59) 2(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) 24 268N 1076W 50 4 12(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 24 268N 1076W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 278N 1077W 34 5 17(22) 4(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 36 278N 1077W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 278N 1077W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 288N 1078W 34 2 5( 7) 4(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 48 288N 1078W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 288N 1078W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65 40 25 20 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Saturday, 16-Sep-2006 20:40:03 UTC