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HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
0900 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100
KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 4 6(10) 3(13) 1(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 6 9(15) 4(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LA PAZ 34 3 9(12) 7(19) 2(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23)
LA PAZ 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LORETO 34 1 4( 5) 6(11) 4(15) 6(21) X(21) X(21)
LORETO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
HERMOSILLO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 7(14) X(14) X(14)
BAHIA KINO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11)
BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GUAYMAS 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) 9(21) X(21) X(21)
GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HUATABAMPO 34 2 11(13) 15(28) 6(34) 5(39) X(39) X(39)
HUATABAMPO 50 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13)
HUATABAMPO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
LOS MOCHIS 34 5 37(42) 14(56) 2(58) 2(60) X(60) X(60)
LOS MOCHIS 50 1 9(10) 10(20) 3(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25)
LOS MOCHIS 64 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11)
CULICAN 34 16 38(54) 6(60) 1(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62)
CULICAN 50 2 13(15) 6(21) 3(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
CULICAN 64 X 5( 5) 5(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
MAZATLAN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MAZATLAN 50 82 2(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
MAZATLAN 64 24 2(26) X(26) X(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)
SAN BLAS 34 5 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
P VALLARTA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 240N 1071W 34 97 3(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 240N 1071W 50 82 7(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
12 240N 1071W 64 50 14(64) X(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
24 251N 1075W 34 62 26(88) 4(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
24 251N 1075W 50 16 42(58) 7(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
24 251N 1075W 64 3 28(31) 4(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
36 262N 1079W 34 8 48(56) 16(72) 2(74) 2(76) X(76) X(76)
36 262N 1079W 50 1 19(20) 14(34) 1(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36)
36 262N 1079W 64 X 7( 7) 7(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
48 273N 1085W 34 2 17(19) 20(39) 7(46) 5(51) X(51) X(51)
48 273N 1085W 50 X 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
48 273N 1085W 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 285N 1095W 34 1 3( 4) 8(12) 6(18) 6(24) X(24) X(24)
72 285N 1095W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 285N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 105 85 60 40 30 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB
NNNN
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Page last modified: Saturday, 16-Sep-2006 09:00:03 UTC