ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006 0300 UTC FRI SEP 15 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 7( 8) 26(34) 21(55) 11(66) 2(68) X(68) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) 9(29) 2(31) X(31) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 7( 8) 26(34) 23(57) 10(67) 2(69) X(69) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) 8(30) 1(31) 1(32) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) X(13) 1(14) LA PAZ 34 X 3( 3) 12(15) 20(35) 14(49) 4(53) 1(54) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 10(18) 1(19) X(19) LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) LORETO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 11(18) 5(23) 2(25) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 1(13) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 12(18) 4(22) 2(24) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 10(15) 14(29) 4(33) 1(34) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) LOS MOCHIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CULICAN 34 X 3( 3) 11(14) 17(31) 14(45) 3(48) 1(49) CULICAN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 1(16) 1(17) CULICAN 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) MAZATLAN 34 3 10(13) 17(30) 8(38) 5(43) 1(44) X(44) MAZATLAN 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAN BLAS 34 9 21(30) 8(38) 3(41) 2(43) 1(44) X(44) SAN BLAS 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) P VALLARTA 34 36 17(53) 3(56) 1(57) 2(59) X(59) X(59) P VALLARTA 50 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 71 3(74) 1(75) X(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 34 54 2(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) L CARDENAS 34 4 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ZIHUATANEJO 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 4( 6) 4(10) 3(13) 4(17) 1(18) 1(19) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 15 43(58) 11(69) 3(72) 2(74) X(74) X(74) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 13(13) 10(23) 2(25) X(25) 1(26) X(26) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 192N 1063W 34 93 4(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 12 192N 1063W 50 49 19(68) X(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) 12 192N 1063W 64 15 12(27) X(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 24 206N 1074W 34 27 57(84) 7(91) 1(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) 24 206N 1074W 50 1 43(44) 11(55) 2(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) 24 206N 1074W 64 X 19(19) 8(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) 36 218N 1083W 34 4 39(43) 30(73) 9(82) 3(85) X(85) 1(86) 36 218N 1083W 50 X 8( 8) 28(36) 9(45) 2(47) 1(48) X(48) 36 218N 1083W 64 X 2( 2) 14(16) 5(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) 48 228N 1093W 34 2 10(12) 32(44) 20(64) 9(73) 1(74) 1(75) 48 228N 1093W 50 X 1( 1) 12(13) 16(29) 7(36) 1(37) X(37) 48 228N 1093W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 4(16) 1(17) X(17) 72 240N 1100W 34 X 4( 4) 15(19) 22(41) 14(55) 3(58) 1(59) 72 240N 1100W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 10(20) 1(21) X(21) 72 240N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 96 250N 1105W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 15(22) 16(38) 4(42) 1(43) 96 250N 1105W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 2(14) X(14) 96 250N 1105W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 120 265N 1105W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 11(19) 5(24) 2(26) 120 265N 1105W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 120 265N 1105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 65 75 80 85 70 65 55 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 15-Sep-2006 03:35:03 UTC