Tropical Storm LANE
ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
2100 UTC THU SEP 14 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) 2(14)
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 4( 5) 23(28) 23(51) 16(67) 2(69) 1(70)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 13(30) 1(31) X(31)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 4( 5) 22(27) 24(51) 16(67) 2(69) 1(70)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 14(32) X(32) 1(33)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13)
LA PAZ 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 19(29) 22(51) 4(55) 1(56)
LA PAZ 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 13(19) 2(21) X(21)
LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
LORETO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 17(22) 7(29) 1(30)
LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
LORETO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 5(15) 2(17)
GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 14(18) 6(24) 1(25)
HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 17(27) 4(31) X(31)
LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
LOS MOCHIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
CULICAN 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 13(22) 20(42) 3(45) 1(46)
CULICAN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 2(14) X(14)
CULICAN 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MAZATLAN 34 2 6( 8) 14(22) 8(30) 5(35) X(35) 1(36)
MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAN BLAS 34 5 17(22) 8(30) 3(33) 3(36) X(36) X(36)
SAN BLAS 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
P VALLARTA 34 22 19(41) 4(45) 2(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49)
P VALLARTA 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 57 3(60) 2(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MANZANILLO 34 37 3(40) 2(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
L CARDENAS 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 4( 6) 6(12) 4(16) 4(20) 1(21) 1(22)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 6 37(43) 17(60) 3(63) 2(65) X(65) X(65)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 7( 7) 10(17) 3(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 188N 1062W 34 94 4(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 188N 1062W 50 51 18(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
12 188N 1062W 64 15 12(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
24 201N 1073W 34 30 54(84) 7(91) 1(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93)
24 201N 1073W 50 2 42(44) 11(55) 2(57) 1(58) 1(59) X(59)
24 201N 1073W 64 X 19(19) 8(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
36 213N 1083W 34 4 37(41) 32(73) 9(82) 4(86) X(86) X(86)
36 213N 1083W 50 X 8( 8) 28(36) 9(45) 3(48) X(48) 1(49)
36 213N 1083W 64 X 2( 2) 14(16) 6(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23)
48 223N 1093W 34 2 9(11) 33(44) 21(65) 9(74) 1(75) 1(76)
48 223N 1093W 50 X 1( 1) 12(13) 16(29) 9(38) X(38) X(38)
48 223N 1093W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 6(18) X(18) X(18)
72 245N 1105W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 15(22) 25(47) 4(51) 1(52)
72 245N 1105W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 2(18) X(18)
72 245N 1105W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
96 260N 1110W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 18(25) 6(31) 2(33)
96 260N 1110W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9)
96 260N 1110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
120 270N 1110W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 13(16) 5(21) 3(24)
120 270N 1110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
120 270N 1110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 75 80 85 70 65 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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