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Tropical Storm LANE (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3             
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132006               
0900 UTC THU SEP 14 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                                         
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   3(11)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)  25(36)  10(46)   2(48)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   4(15)   1(16)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)  24(34)  10(44)   2(46)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   5(15)   1(16)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  17(20)  13(33)   3(36)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)
LA PAZ         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
LORETO         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)   6(19)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
P PENASCO      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)
 
GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   4(13)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   7(15)   3(18)
LOS MOCHIS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
CULICAN        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)   9(24)   3(27)
CULICAN        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)
CULICAN        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
MAZATLAN       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)  11(21)   4(25)   X(25)
MAZATLAN       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAN BLAS       34  X   4( 4)  10(14)   8(22)   6(28)   X(28)   1(29)
SAN BLAS       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
P VALLARTA     34  2  11(13)  18(31)   7(38)   5(43)   1(44)   X(44)
P VALLARTA     50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34 15  31(46)  13(59)   3(62)   1(63)   X(63)   X(63)
BARRA NAVIDAD  50  X   5( 5)   7(12)   1(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
BARRA NAVIDAD  64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MANZANILLO     34 22  24(46)   9(55)   2(57)   1(58)   1(59)   X(59)
MANZANILLO     50  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
L CARDENAS     34 27   3(30)   1(31)   1(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  8   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
ACAPULCO       34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)  10(21)   2(23)   2(25)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   4( 4)  18(22)  14(36)  11(47)   1(48)   X(48)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   4(12)   2(14)   X(14)
ISLAS MARIAS   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 173N 1039W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 173N 1039W 50 11  14(25)   2(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 12 173N 1039W 64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 24 181N 1051W 34 57  26(83)   5(88)   X(88)   1(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 24 181N 1051W 50  1  26(27)   9(36)   2(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)
 24 181N 1051W 64  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 36 190N 1065W 34  5  37(42)  28(70)   7(77)   3(80)   1(81)   X(81)
 36 190N 1065W 50  X   5( 5)  23(28)   8(36)   3(39)   X(39)   X(39)
 36 190N 1065W 64  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
 48 200N 1077W 34  1   9(10)  33(43)  19(62)  10(72)   1(73)   1(74)
 48 200N 1077W 50  X   X( X)   9( 9)  14(23)   8(31)   1(32)   X(32)
 48 200N 1077W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 
 
 72 220N 1095W 34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  15(21)  26(47)   8(55)   2(57)
 72 220N 1095W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  13(17)   5(22)   1(23)
 72 220N 1095W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)
 
 
 96 240N 1110W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)  14(32)   3(35)
 96 240N 1110W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)
 96 240N 1110W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
120 255N 1115W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  11(18)   6(24)
120 255N 1115W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
120 255N 1115W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     55      65      70      75      70      60
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Thursday, 14-Sep-2006 09:05:03 UTC