Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
2100 UTC WED SEP 13 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 10(25) 2(27)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 9(22) 1(23)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 2(15)
LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
CULICAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) 1(12)
SAN BLAS 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 6(17) 2(19) X(19)
SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
P VALLARTA 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 9(21) 6(27) 1(28) X(28)
P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 13(13) 19(32) 7(39) 4(43) X(43) X(43)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MANZANILLO 34 1 15(16) 14(30) 4(34) 4(38) X(38) 1(39)
MANZANILLO 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
L CARDENAS 34 11 9(20) 3(23) 2(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 6 3( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) 1(13) X(13)
ACAPULCO 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 18(25) 9(34) 3(37)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 11(17) 10(27) 2(29) X(29)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 168N 1028W 34 44 21(65) 1(66) X(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67)
12 168N 1028W 50 5 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
12 168N 1028W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 176N 1045W 34 2 51(53) 13(66) 3(69) 2(71) X(71) X(71)
24 176N 1045W 50 X 12(12) 10(22) 1(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25)
24 176N 1045W 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 183N 1060W 34 X 17(17) 35(52) 11(63) 5(68) 1(69) X(69)
36 183N 1060W 50 X 1( 1) 17(18) 8(26) 3(29) X(29) X(29)
36 183N 1060W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
48 189N 1073W 34 X 4( 4) 26(30) 21(51) 13(64) 2(66) 1(67)
48 189N 1073W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) 9(27) 1(28) X(28)
48 189N 1073W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11)
72 200N 1095W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) 24(43) 10(53) 2(55)
72 200N 1095W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 5(21) 1(22)
72 200N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)
96 215N 1125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 17(29) 4(33)
96 215N 1125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10)
96 215N 1125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
120 235N 1145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 7(18)
120 235N 1145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
120 235N 1145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 50 60 70 75 70 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN
NNNN
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