Hurricane LANE

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HURRICANE LANE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132006
1100 AM PDT SAT SEP 16 2006
 
...DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE LANE ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL
IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO TO TOPOLOBAMPO.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO
HUATABAMPITO.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO CABO SAN LUCAS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.2 WEST OR ABOUT
60 MILES...95 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CULIACAN MEXICO AND ABOUT
80 MILES...130 KM...NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO.
 
LANE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF LANE ACROSS THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LANE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL...
FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AFTER LANDFALL.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE LANE.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE LANE.
 
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS AREAS OF WEST-CENTRAL
MEXICO.  TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.  THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  CAJON DE
PENA IN THE STATE OF JALISCO HAS REPORTED 7.36 INCHES OF RAIN
DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM PDT POSITION...24.0 N...107.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
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