Hurricane LANE

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HURRICANE LANE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  11A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132006
500 AM PDT SAT SEP 16 2006
 
...DANGEROUS HURRICANE LANE GETTING CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO TO TOPOLOBAMPO.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
SOUTH OF AGUA BLANCA ON THE WEST COAST AND SOUTH OF BUENA VISTA
ON THE EAST COAST.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO
NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO....AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF BUENA VISTA TO LORETO.  A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST
OF MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG
THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF EL ROBLITO TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.0 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...
75 KM...WEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO AND ABOUT 185 MILES...300 KM
...EAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.
 
LANE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 11 MPH...18 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF LANE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LANE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL....FOLLOWED BY
WEAKENING AFTER LANDFALL.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE LANE.
 
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO...AND OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA
PENINSULA ALONG THE TRACK OF LANE.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
TO 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS AREAS OF
WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO.  THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM PDT POSITION...23.1 N...107.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 11 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
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