ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 164N 1315W 34 14 7(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 12 164N 1315W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 164N 1315W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 164N 1330W 34 2 15(17) 6(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 24 164N 1330W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 164N 1330W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 164N 1344W 34 X 5( 5) 10(15) 5(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) 36 164N 1344W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 164N 1344W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 164N 1359W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 5(19) 1(20) X(20) 48 164N 1359W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 48 164N 1359W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 165N 1390W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 8(10) 3(13) 1(14) 72 165N 1390W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 72 165N 1390W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 165N 1420W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 96 165N 1420W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 165N 1420W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 165N 1450W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 120 165N 1450W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 165N 1450W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 30 25 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:44 UTC