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Tropical Depression KRISTY (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006               
1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 164N 1315W 34 14   7(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 12 164N 1315W 50  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 12 164N 1315W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 164N 1330W 34  2  15(17)   6(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 24 164N 1330W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 24 164N 1330W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 164N 1344W 34  X   5( 5)  10(15)   5(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 36 164N 1344W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 36 164N 1344W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 164N 1359W 34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   8(14)   5(19)   1(20)   X(20)
 48 164N 1359W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 48 164N 1359W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 165N 1390W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   8(10)   3(13)   1(14)
 72 165N 1390W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 72 165N 1390W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 165N 1420W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)
 96 165N 1420W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 165N 1420W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 165N 1450W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
120 165N 1450W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 165N 1450W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     30      30      30      30      25      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:44 UTC