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Tropical Storm KRISTY (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006               
0900 UTC WED SEP 06 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 177N 1270W 34 27  10(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 12 177N 1270W 50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 177N 1270W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 181N 1292W 34  1  30(31)   8(39)   2(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 24 181N 1292W 50  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 24 181N 1292W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 182N 1308W 34  X   8( 8)  19(27)   7(34)   2(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 36 182N 1308W 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 36 182N 1308W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 182N 1323W 34  X   1( 1)  10(11)  12(23)   6(29)   X(29)   1(30)
 48 182N 1323W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 48 182N 1323W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
 72 185N 1350W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  10(15)   3(18)   1(19)
 72 185N 1350W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 72 185N 1350W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 190N 1380W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)
 96 190N 1380W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 96 190N 1380W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 190N 1410W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
120 190N 1410W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 190N 1410W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     40      40      40      35      30      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:44 UTC