ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 0300 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 161N 1206W 34 18 3(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 12 161N 1206W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 161N 1206W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 161N 1218W 34 3 9(12) 2(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) 24 161N 1218W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 161N 1218W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 162N 1231W 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 36 162N 1231W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 162N 1231W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 164N 1245W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 48 164N 1245W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 164N 1245W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 170N 1275W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 170N 1275W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 170N 1275W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 25 20 20 20 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:44 UTC