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Hurricane KRISTY (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006               
0300 UTC FRI SEP 01 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 198N 1186W 34 77   6(83)   1(84)   1(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 12 198N 1186W 50 44   9(53)   X(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 12 198N 1186W 64 11   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
 24 204N 1195W 34 15  38(53)   4(57)   1(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 24 204N 1195W 50  4  18(22)   1(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 24 204N 1195W 64  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 36 206N 1202W 34  2  26(28)   9(37)   2(39)   1(40)   1(41)   X(41)
 36 206N 1202W 50  X   6( 6)   3( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 36 206N 1202W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 206N 1205W 34  1  19(20)  11(31)   2(33)   2(35)   1(36)   X(36)
 48 206N 1205W 50  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 48 206N 1205W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 205N 1210W 34  X  10(10)   9(19)   3(22)   3(25)   1(26)   X(26)
 72 205N 1210W 50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 72 205N 1210W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 200N 1215W 34  X   3( 3)   7(10)   2(12)   4(16)   X(16)   1(17)
 96 200N 1215W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 96 200N 1215W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 195N 1220W 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   1(11)
120 195N 1220W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
120 195N 1220W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     60     50      40      35      30      25      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN/KIMBERLAIN/LANDSEA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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