Tropical Storm KRISTY

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TROPICAL STORM KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006
0300 UTC THU AUG 31 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 115.7W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 55NE  55SE  55SW  55NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 65NE  65SE  65SW  65NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 115.7W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 115.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 17.8N 116.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 18.6N 117.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 19.3N 119.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.9N 120.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.2N 123.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 20.0N 124.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 19.5N 126.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 115.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BEVEN
 
 
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