Tropical Storm JOHN
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM JOHN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006
2100 UTC SAT SEP 02 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOHN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
LONG BEACH/LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
P ABREOJOS 34 3 20(23) 4(27) 1(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29)
P ABREOJOS 50 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LA PAZ 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LORETO 34 61 5(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
LORETO 50 7 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
P PENASCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
HERMOSILLO 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
BAHIA KINO 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
GUAYMAS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 258N 1121W 34 68 11(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
12 258N 1121W 50 22 4(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
12 258N 1121W 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 268N 1132W 34 4 34(38) 3(41) 1(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43)
24 268N 1132W 50 1 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
24 268N 1132W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 278N 1143W 34 1 8( 9) 9(18) 2(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22)
36 278N 1143W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
36 278N 1143W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 287N 1153W 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14)
48 287N 1153W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 287N 1153W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
72 295N 1170W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
72 295N 1170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 295N 1170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 295N 1190W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
96 295N 1190W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 295N 1190W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 40 30 25 20 20 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
NNNN
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