ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE JOHN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006 1500 UTC SAT SEP 02 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOHN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) P ABREOJOS 34 1 9(10) 10(20) 2(22) X(22) 1(23) X(23) P ABREOJOS 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LA PAZ 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LA PAZ 50 73 X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) LA PAZ 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LORETO 34 31 21(52) 2(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) LORETO 50 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BAHIA KINO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) GUAYMAS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) HUATABAMPO 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 253N 1116W 34 72 8(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) 12 253N 1116W 50 32 5(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) 1(38) X(38) 12 253N 1116W 64 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 264N 1127W 34 4 27(31) 6(37) 1(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) 24 264N 1127W 50 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 24 264N 1127W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 275N 1138W 34 1 4( 5) 13(18) 2(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) 36 275N 1138W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 275N 1138W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 285N 1150W 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 4(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) 48 285N 1150W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 48 285N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 295N 1170W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 72 295N 1170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 295N 1170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 295N 1190W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 96 295N 1190W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 295N 1190W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 55 40 30 25 20 20 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:43 UTC