Hurricane JOHN
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JOHN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006
2100 UTC FRI SEP 01 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOHN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95
KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
LONG BEACH/LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
P ABREOJOS 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 7(15) 6(21) X(21) X(21)
P ABREOJOS 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 75 4(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 29 3(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 18 3(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 93 2(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 75 5(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
SAN JOSE CABO 64 50 3(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
LA PAZ 34 46 44(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) 1(92) X(92)
LA PAZ 50 15 45(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
LA PAZ 64 7 27(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
LORETO 34 1 22(23) 11(34) 3(37) 1(38) 1(39) X(39)
LORETO 50 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
LORETO 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
HERMOSILLO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BAHIA KINO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
GUAYMAS 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 1( 9)
HUATABAMPO 34 1 7( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
LOS MOCHIS 34 2 15(17) 1(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
CULICAN 34 20 17(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) 1(38) X(38)
CULICAN 50 3 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
CULICAN 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 236N 1099W 34 86 8(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 236N 1099W 50 56 19(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
12 236N 1099W 64 35 15(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
24 247N 1112W 34 5 67(72) 5(77) X(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78)
24 247N 1112W 50 1 35(36) 3(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
24 247N 1112W 64 X 12(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
36 256N 1123W 34 1 22(23) 17(40) 3(43) 2(45) X(45) 1(46)
36 256N 1123W 50 X 7( 7) 5(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
36 256N 1123W 64 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 265N 1135W 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) 7(19) 5(24) 1(25) X(25)
48 265N 1135W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 265N 1135W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 283N 1160W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 8(11) 3(14) X(14)
72 283N 1160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
72 283N 1160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 290N 1190W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
96 290N 1190W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 290N 1190W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 290N 1220W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
120 290N 1220W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 290N 1220W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 75 55 35 35 35 25 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
NNNN
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